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US Econ 2022-04-26 12:18 財經茄呢啡 10Y-2Y美債利差出現倒掛,引發市場對美國經濟衰退的憂慮有所加劇。本文從期限利差、債務風險、經濟動能三大視角,結合歷史經驗和當前情況,對美國經濟衰退風險進行詳細分析,並進一步分析經濟衰退對美聯儲局加息和大類資金的影響。
US Econ 2022-04-22 10:02 財經茄呢啡 三藩市聯儲銀行行長戴利(Mary Daly)表示,未來幾個月幾乎肯定會有一系列加息舉措,可能會使美國經濟陷入輕微衰退,她傾向在今年底前加息至中性水平,大約2.5厘。
US Econ 2022-04-19 10:53 財經茄呢啡 當前房地產銷售正在下跌,但隨著各地適度地放寬限購限售,以及降低公積金使用門檻,加快置業貸款審批等措施,將有助提升部分城市住屋需求,全國商品房銷售跌勢或會紓緩。
US Econ 2022-04-02 09:28 財經茄呢啡 最新的就業數據,令通脹高企的擔憂,突顯聯儲局加快收緊貨幣政策的迫切性。利率期貨數據顯示,交易員預期聯儲局5月會議加息半厘的概率達74.4%。
US Econ 2022-04-02 09:28 財經茄呢啡 美國上月的職位增長低於預期。3月非農職位僅增43.1萬個,低於分析師預期的49萬個。美國3月時薪按年增長5.6%,是2020年5月以來最大升幅。
US Econ 2022-04-02 09:28 財經茄呢啡 美國3月失業率由3.8%降至3.6%,跌幅比預期大,是美國新冠疫情爆發以來新低,幾乎重返2020年2月美國疫情惡化前的3.5%水平。
US Econ 2022-02-22 12:20 財經茄呢啡 牛津經濟(Oxford Economics)推算,每桶石油的價格每上升10美元,美國消費物價指數(CPI)將按年升0.3個百分點。分析指出,油價上漲是CPI的升勢加劇的最大因素,增加了聯儲局大幅加息的壓力。美國上月CPI按年升7.5%,創40年高位。
US Econ 2022-01-08 13:15 財經茄呢啡 美國非農數,非農數據,是指美國非農就業率,非農業就業人數與失業率這三個數值。顧名思義,就是反映美國非農業部門的就業狀況的數據指標。這三個數據每個月第一個周五北京時間(冬令時:11月-3月)21:30,(夏令時:4月-10月)20:30公布,數據來源於美國勞工部勞動統計局。
US Econ 2021-12-13 12:30 財經茄呢啡 上月美國的消費者物價指數(CPI)按年升6.8%,創近40年新高,符合市場預期。聯儲局本周有機會宣布加快減買債步伐,令結束買債的時間提早,惟料聯儲局會等待明年首季尾至次季初的通脹數據,才考慮加息時機。
US Econ 2021-12-04 13:34 財經茄呢啡 美國勞工統計局:9月份非農新增就業人數從31.2萬人上修6.7萬人至37.9萬人;10月份非農新增就業人數從53.1萬人上修1.5萬人至54.6萬人。
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