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USD 2020-08-04 13:22 財經茄呢啡 美元經歷連續多日下跌後,上周五(7月31日)出現反彈,技術上美元已屆超賣水平,短線或有機會終止跌勢並整固。美匯指數在7月跌至2018年9月以來的最低水平,預料美元在未來12個月或有機會再下跌逾5%。
USD 2020-07-27 09:39 財經茄呢啡 美國就一直在QE,但美元一直沒有趨勢貶值,因為歐盟及日本很快就加入QE,而人行又一直是資產規模最大的央行。反而在2016年之後,科技股帶動下股市猛漲,全球資本湧向美股,令美元強勢,更打破了印鈔推高金價的定律。
USD 2020-07-27 09:39 財經茄呢啡 單是6月份,美國財赤就高達8640億美元,2009年全年數字才約10000億美元。美國公債佔GDP比率,在3月底止為106%,相信第二季後會激增至110%以上。
USD 2020-07-27 09:38 財經茄呢啡 美元作為全球結算、交易和儲備貨幣,大家都會擔心購買力貶值,尤其是美國抗疫看不到曙光,印錢無了期;美元全面走弱。
USD 2020-07-27 09:35 財經茄呢啡 美匯指數上周五收巿報94.3,較今年3月最高位103.96跌了超過9%,以美國10年期債息0.586厘,收15年息也不夠抵償美元這4個多月的跌幅。
USD 2020-07-22 09:41 財經茄呢啡 11月美國總統大選距今只有4個多月,選前的政治不確定性繼續增加、美國與中國在貿易以至政治關係,以及美國與歐洲的貿易關係等,都增添了美元的不確定性。
USD 2020-07-22 09:41 財經茄呢啡 當資金逐漸流入美元避險推高美元後,或會觸發投資者沽售美元,預期美元在未來12個月或會下跌約5至7%,參考前低位約為6月初的95.72。
USD 2020-07-19 09:28 財經茄呢啡 美匯指數跌至96.01點,是3月初聯儲局將利率降至零以後的最低水平。分析認為,隨著新冠肺炎死亡率趨穩、避險需求下降,美元將繼續處於弱勢,美匯短期或見95點水平。
USD 2020-07-13 09:30 財經茄呢啡 羅奇預測美元將會在未來一年半內最多下跌35%。路透社文章指,美元出現死亡交叉的重大技術形態,令,部分市場人士對美元失去信心。
USD 2020-05-18 08:39 財經茄呢啡 多個新興市場國家在疫情衝擊下可能出現大規模違約風險,故此環球資金轉投美元避險,即使美國經濟今年備受疫情重擊,美匯指數期內不跌反升,上周收報100.40,較去年收市價96.389錄得4.16%升幅。
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