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EURO 2024-06-09T10:33 財經茄呢啡 歐洲經濟牛皮,足以支撐央行減息,但當局亦要警惕通脹回升的風險,相信今次減息可能只是修正之前過度激進的加息步伐,未必是全球減息周期的開始。他預期,隨著美國經濟及就業數據轉弱,fed將有需要減息,美元升勢受限,歐元短線調整壓力亦有限,預期只會下跌到1.04至1.06水平。
EURO 2024-06-09T10:33 財經茄呢啡 歐央行決定將歐元區三大關鍵利率均調降25個基點。對此,中國外匯投資研究院獨立經濟學者譚雅玲解讀稱,歐央行本次降息有點操之過急,不利於歐元區政策和經濟穩定。目前來看,歐元區通脹反彈風險仍存。她同一時間直言,目前判斷全球發達國家降息潮來臨有點偏激了。
EURO 2024-06-09T10:33 財經茄呢啡 歐元區第一季經濟增加符合預期。歐盟統計局發布,經季節調整,歐元區國內生產總值,第一季終值按年保持上揚百分之0.4,與初值相同。按季比較,第一季終值增加百分之0.3,亦與初值和市場預期相同。有分析指,歐元區今年第一季出口和消費增加,有助抵銷投資消減的影響,並扭轉去年第四季經濟按季萎縮狀態。
EURO 2024-06-09T10:33 財經茄呢啡 歐元區第一季國內生產總值季增率終值報0.3%,符合經濟學者估計並與前值一致。先前歐元區經濟曾兩續兩季陷入萎縮。該區第一季GDP年增率終值報 0.4%,也符合經濟學者估計並與前值一致。
EURO 2024-06-07T10:40 財經茄呢啡 金融市場預計歐央行即將於周四(6日)開始降息;對歐元區經濟將產生多大的提振效果,端視進一步降息的幅度有多大而定;經濟學家直言,由於薪金快速上揚使通膨仍然偏高,將限制後續降息的幅度。
EURO 2024-06-07T10:40 財經茄呢啡 6月6日|對歐央行的聲明的初步證實了這麼一種觀點:即如今還沒有充足的鴿派心理引發歐元持續走低。倫敦首席G10外匯策略師CHILDE—FREEMAN直言:有分析師認為歐央行選擇不預先承諾一條特定的路徑,並調高2024-25年通脹預計,給人以鷹派的印象,有助於我們看漲歐元/美元的觀點。
EURO 2024-06-07T10:40 財經茄呢啡 減息是出於對未來前景的信心,預計歐元區經濟將持續復蘇,有多項調查顯示短期就業增加,薪金以較快的速度增加,出口亦支撐經濟表現。
EURO 2024-06-07T10:40 財經茄呢啡 歐央行減息0.25厘,是2019年以來首次,市場已預計歐央行今次行動,歐元匯率靠穩。1歐元較早時兌1.089美元,接近今星期初觸及的兩個半月高位。
EURO 2024-06-07T10:40 財經茄呢啡 目前歐元區通膨率已從2022年底的10%以上降至2.6%,受惠於燃料成本下滑和新冠疫情後供給障礙的緩解。但這一發展最近停滯不前,幾周前歐央行還看似將開始大規模寬松周期,但目前似乎更加不確定,有跡象顯示,歐元區通膨可能會像美國一樣具有粘性。
EURO 2024-06-06T10:34 財經茄呢啡 金融市場預料歐央行即將於周四(6日)開始降息;對歐元區經濟將產生多大的提振效果,端視進一步降息的幅度有多大而定;經濟學家直言,由於薪資快速上漲使通膨仍然偏高,將限制後續降息的幅度。
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