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HK Stock 2023-09-02T12:11 財經茄呢啡 港股繼續回調,聯邦儲備局會議紀錄暗示未來將進一步加息,最新發布的工廠訂單又不及市場預期,增長美國經濟衰退的可能性,加上日前發布中國6月服務業數據疲軟,引發對世界經濟衰退的擔憂重燃,而聯邦儲備局放鷹刺激美元上揚,人民幣/美元匯率再次回軟,令投資者心理陷入低迷狀況。如今,恆指插穿10天移動平均線,兼失守19000點關口,短期走勢轉弱。不過,近期強勢的汽車股,在市況大幅回調下,股價跌幅相對較細,表現已算比較硬淨。
HK Stock 2023-09-02T12:11 財經茄呢啡 昨天(30日)恆指高見18,742點,於裂口位遇到阻力,惟短線走勢仍然向上,後市仍有望補裂口至19,000點關口。如睇好恆指可留意恆指法興牛,收回價18,188點;可留意收回價較低的恆指法興牛,收回價18,088點。相反,如睇淡可留意恆指法興熊,收回價18,948點;也可留意收回價較高的恆指法興熊,收回價19,076點。
HK Stock 2023-08-31T10:06 財經茄呢啡 芝商所美聯儲觀察工具(FedWatch)顯示,交易員押注9月利率按兵不動的概率,升穿九成。今年底前加息的概率,維持在四成左右。
HK Stock 2023-08-28T09:54 財經茄呢啡 聯儲局仍致力於控制通脹,短期難以減息,這會拖累全球股市及經濟,美國10年期國債孳息率是全球投資市場無風險利率的標的,該長債息率向上,本港樓市估值便會向下,對樓價自然亦屬不利。
HK Stock 2023-08-28T09:54 財經茄呢啡 分析指出,美國31.4萬億美元國債中近30%、即近10萬億美元將於未來12個月到期,須發行新債以償還舊債、意味著將有頗多國債、尤其是長年期國債供應湧現,作為美國國債最大買家的美聯儲也不太可能再進行QE買債,因此長年期國債價格下跌、孳息率上升是大概率的事件。
HK Stock 2023-08-28T09:54 財經茄呢啡 美國限制對中國半導體、量子信息技術及人工智能等三個關鍵領域高科技企業的投資,內地本月公布的上月經濟數據遜於預期,加上中國減持美國國債導致美國國債孳息率過去一個月均全面上升,令港股亦本月急轉直下。
HK Stock 2023-08-28T09:53 財經茄呢啡 中美角力升溫,美國限制企業投資中國科技領域,而中國則積極減持美債,推高美國國債孳息率,高息環境有可能令美國經濟出現衰退,觸發全球市場金融動盪,相信本港股市及樓市仍未見底,港人即使有自住需要,也不必急於入市,估計明年中有更佳的買貨機會。
HK Stock 2023-08-27T10:39 財經茄呢啡 高盛分析,逾500隻共同基金認為羅素1000成長股指數出現「極端集中」的情況,但共同基金應避免集中投資某幾家公司,以分散風險,現時科網巨擘升勢驚人,則成為核心及成長型基金的一大阻力。
HK Stock 2023-08-27T10:39 財經茄呢啡 施羅德多元資產投資組合經理Remi Olu-Pitan指出,當只有少數股份做好,大家容易高估市值,繼續投資大市,最終發生另一次科網股泡沫爆破,現在可能正播下種子。
HK Stock 2023-08-27T10:39 財經茄呢啡 摩根士丹利首席美股策略師Michael Wilson認為,目前少數大型股遮蓋了市場廣泛的痛楚,令人以為市場健康,例如近期大型市值重估已經發生,市場由低質的細價股撐住,他更料今年標指會挫逾一成至3900點。
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