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*China Econ 2020-08-15T09:38 財經茄呢啡 在基數回落之下,內地汽車零售按年大幅反彈12.3%;金銀珠寶因貴金屬價格走高而回升7.5%。
*China Econ 2020-08-15T09:38 財經茄呢啡 內地7月份城鎮調查失業率為5.7%,與6月持平,今年內地大學畢業生達到874萬人,創歷史新高,隨著7月份大學畢業生進入勞動力市場,就業壓力不能忽視。
*China Econ 2020-08-15T09:38 財經茄呢啡 內地消費佔GDP比重已超過55%,假設全年GDP增長2.5%,則下半年經濟增長要達到6%,那麼下半年消費增長就必須要有3%以上;因此,下半年國家政策應該以促進消費為重點。
*China Econ 2020-08-15T09:38 財經茄呢啡 累計首7個月內地社會消費品零售總額跌9.9%。雖然自年初疫情爆發後,零售額每月跌幅都有所收窄,但遲遲未能重拾增長。
*China Econ 2020-08-15T09:38 財經茄呢啡 內地7月社會消費品零售總額按年跌1.1%,雖然跌幅已收窄,但仍然差過預期的0.1%增長。分析認為,消費復蘇繼續滯後於投資與生產,疫情反覆,使人民未敢放膽消費,政策並應該以促消費為重點。
*China Econ 2020-08-12T11:08 財經茄呢啡 德銀亞洲高級經濟學家周浩指出,新增貸款與社融規模減少,可能是因為人行的貨幣政策轉向,從寬鬆改為壓供應,非市場融資需求的不足。7月數據表明市場不能再有降準或減息預期。
*China Econ 2020-08-08T09:50 財經茄呢啡 高盛認為,未來數月疫情相關的產品出口會回落,但整體而言中國出口的恢復能力佳,預計短期內仍能保持強勁,主要受惠於環球經濟反彈。
*China Econ 2020-08-08T09:49 財經茄呢啡 從產品種類看,中國7月份出口增長以機電產品、紡織品和塑料製品增幅較大。除了出口至美國有雙位數增幅外,出口至東盟按年升17.6%,出口至英國更大升48.3%。
*China Econ 2020-08-08T09:49 財經茄呢啡 中國7月份出口按年增10.4%,遠勝預期的增長0.9%;進口增1.6%,低過預期的增長2.5%;對美國出口總值(按人民幣計價)更按年大增15.9%,增幅是2018年10月以來最高。分析認為,出口猛增與歐美陸續對疫情解封有關。
*China Econ 2020-08-04T13:23 財經茄呢啡 7月內地製造業採購經理指數(PMI)升至52.8,不單勝過市場預期,更創下2011年1月以來最高位。其中生產和新訂單指數亦創2011年2月以來新高,顯示供需兩側均穩步復蘇。
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