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China Banks 2022-07-16T11:58 財經茄呢啡 今次事件、連同河南村鎮銀行事件,上海最近疑再現疫情,已影響投資者對內銀的心理,且在過去幾天觸發恐慌性賣出,基於此而相信內銀近期股價調整,可能是收集內銀股的好機會。該行在內銀板塊當中首選招行 、郵儲銀行 。
China Banks 2022-07-06T11:44 財經茄呢啡 摩通料內銀股價下半年仍會走高,但基於內銀盈利預料難見調高,內銀股料將跑輸MSCI中國指數。摩通解釋,內地疫情與內房問題對內銀不良貸款形成的壓力料於下半年緩和,惟就算貸款市場報價利率未有進一步降低,內銀資金回報率亦因受累之前第五波疫情而受壓縮,意味收入壓力料仍持續。另外,內銀手續費增加亦料呆滯,但隨著內銀減慢撥備速度,內銀整體盈利增加料穩定。
China Banks 2022-07-05T11:52 財經茄呢啡 摩通料內銀股價下半年仍會走高,但基於內銀盈利估計難見調高,內銀股料將跑輸MSCI中國指數。摩通解釋,內地疫情與內房問題對內銀不良貸款形成的壓力料於下半年緩和,惟就算貸款市場報價利率未有進一步調降,內銀資金回報率亦因受累之前第五波疫情而受壓縮,意味收入壓力料仍持續。另外,內銀手續費提升亦料呆滯,但隨著內銀減慢撥備速度,內銀整體盈利提升料穩定。
China Banks 2022-07-04T11:57 財經茄呢啡 自去年第四季開始對內銀股轉趨樂觀,且估計今年行業利潤提升及估值會回復正常;內銀板塊本年至今累升14%,跑贏MSCI中國指數、恆指及恆生中國H股金融行業指數分別14個、10個及6個百分點,該行持續睇好大型內銀股,主因其高回報率及在緊縮環境中的有利位置,首選工行、農行及建行。
China Banks 2022-07-04T11:57 財經茄呢啡 降息的影響包括MLF調降令到內銀負債成本節約;第二是LPR調降銀行貸款回報率下滑;第三是市場利率中樞也可能相應下滑。該行測算此次降息對內銀對淨息差負面影響約1.9個基點,相當於淨盈利2%。
China Banks 2022-07-04T11:57 財經茄呢啡 低基數效應下,去年內銀表現亮麗,但市場聚焦今年走勢。他指,今年內銀面對三大挑戰,一是淨息差受壓,二是內地疫情發展,三是資金質素。他解釋,今年內銀淨息差一定受壓,銀行要做的是增長非利息收入,以減低對利潤的影響。他坦言,這考驗各銀行自己的能力,又指雖然讓利減費的政策持續,但內地整頓互聯網金融公司,內銀競爭壓力大減,可望通過擴大業務規模增長收入。
China Banks 2022-07-04T11:57 財經茄呢啡 摩通料內銀股價下半年仍會走高,但基於內銀盈利預期難見調高,內銀股料將跑輸MSCI中國指數。摩通解釋,內地疫情與內房問題對內銀不良貸款形成的壓力料於下半年緩和,惟就算貸款市場報價利率未有進一步調降,內銀資金回報率亦因受累之前第五波疫情而受壓縮,意味收入壓力料仍持續。另外,內銀手續費提升亦料呆滯,但隨著內銀減慢撥備速度,內銀整體盈利提升料穩定。
China Banks 2022-07-02T11:50 財經茄呢啡 現在內銀股的風險回報頗具吸引力。支撐觀點的四個因素包括資金質量問題應消減、中資銀行提供有吸引力的股息回報率和相對估值,雖然內銀過去幾年在價位基礎上的表現落後於大市,在總回報率的基礎上,內銀一直維持一致。多家內銀提供股息回報率3%以上;內銀的資本狀況是健康,提高了回購的范圍。行業仍然不受歡迎,投資者仍對該板塊持低配。
China Banks 2022-07-02T11:50 財經茄呢啡 摩根大通發表報告指,該行對疫情影響及房地產風險的分析表明,內銀不良貸款形成的壓力或會在今年下半年舒緩。不過,就算LPR沒有進一步降低,行業收入壓力亦可能持續存在。
China Banks 2022-07-02T11:50 財經茄呢啡 摩通料內銀股價下半年仍會走高,但基於內銀盈利預計難見調高,內銀股料將跑輸MSCI中國指數。摩通解釋,內地疫情與內房問題對內銀不良貸款形成的壓力料於下半年緩和,惟就算貸款市場報價利率未有進一步降低,內銀資金回報率亦因受累之前第五波疫情而受壓縮,意味收入壓力料仍持續。另外,內銀手續費提升亦料呆滯,但隨著內銀減慢撥備速度,內銀整體盈利提升料穩定。
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