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China Banks 2023-06-14T11:58 財經茄呢啡 瑞信降建行今、明兩年利潤預計0.5%及1.6%;以及調降工行及農行今年利潤預計4.8%及2%。惟瑞信保持予3間國有內銀「跑贏大市」評級。
China Banks 2023-06-13T12:09 財經茄呢啡 六大內地銀行降低存款息口,為今年內第二次,有利銀行調降資產成本,但有分析預估,存款息口下滑亦為貸款息帶來降低空間,今年內銀息差整體仍存收縮壓力。不過,貸款息口下滑配合其他財政措施能拉動整體經濟復蘇,推動貸款需求及非利息收入,仍能利好利潤空間,故中長期高派息率的內銀股投資仍具備吸引力,可分段增持。
China Banks 2023-06-13T12:09 財經茄呢啡 內地大型銀行上星期減存款息後,11間股權制銀行昨跟隨步伐,把人幣活期存款息口降至0.2厘,定期存款息則以長年期減幅較大,涉及的包括招商銀行、中信銀行、光大銀行、浦發銀行、平安銀行、民生銀行等。各類規模大小的內銀都已相繼減存款息,分析預估,6月份中期借貸便利和貸款市場報價息口都不排除降低。
China Banks 2023-06-13T12:09 財經茄呢啡 瑞信降建行今、明兩年利潤預估0.5%及1.6%;以及降低工行及農行今年利潤預估4.8%及2%。惟瑞信保持予3間國有內銀「跑贏大市」評級。
China Banks 2023-06-12T12:03 財經茄呢啡 六大內地銀行調降存款利率,為今年內第二次,有利銀行調降資產成本,但有分析預估,存款利率回落亦為貸款息帶來調降空間,今年內銀息差整體仍存收縮壓力。不過,貸款利率回落配合其他財政措施能拉動整體經濟復蘇,推動貸款需求及非利息收入,仍能利好利潤空間,故中長期高派息率的內銀股投資仍具備吸引力,可分段增持。
China Banks 2023-06-12T12:03 財經茄呢啡 近期內銀股反彈有機會只是炒作調降存款利率,短線難再有炒作消息,故今天發布有關消息後或會下挫,建議低位博反彈者可考慮沽貨獲利,若要向上突破,須待大市升破19500阻力。
China Banks 2023-06-12T12:03 財經茄呢啡 內銀再次調降存款利率增強市場對減MLF利息的預估。不過,申萬宏源相信出手機會較低,以國民買樓信心仍不穩定,減MLF利率對地產銷售乃至實體經濟的刺激效果恐怕有限,況且目前人幣匯價尚未完全穩定,調降MLF和貸款利率或觸發短期資產外流,加劇貶值壓力,所以不是好時機。
China Banks 2023-06-10T11:57 財經茄呢啡 港股昨天先跌後回,午後由跌轉升但力度稍弱,恆指收報19,299點,升0.3%。近期市場焦點除了內地經濟數據外,亦包括政策方向,近日內地推政策指引內銀降低存款息口,隨了希望刺激消費外,對市場來說,更主要的是可以改善內銀股淨息差,從而直接推動銀行利潤表現。有大行睇好改善空間更大的國內內銀,亦有睇好股權制銀行的理財業務可以受惠。內銀股差不多造好,升幅介乎0.3%至1.2%。
China Banks 2023-06-10T11:57 財經茄呢啡 高盛發表報告,預測內銀執行上述兩項減息,整體存款成本可節省約13個基點,但相信有關帳簿定價需時,成本節約或需6至9個月才能實現。由於內銀首季淨息差已按年削22個基點至1.73%,高盛相信內銀進一步調降貸款息的可能性低,而該投行所覆蓋的內銀中,預測中行或會受惠更多,因其擁有的中銀香港 有較多的美元存款敞口,至於工行、建行以及平安銀行(深:000001)等亦能受惠於較同業為多的成本節省。
China Banks 2023-06-10T11:57 財經茄呢啡 六大內地銀行降低存款息口,為今年內第二次,有利銀行調降資產成本,但有分析估計,存款息口下挫亦為貸款息帶來降低空間,今年內銀息差整體仍存收縮壓力。不過,貸款息口下挫配合其他財政措施能拉動整體經濟復蘇,推動貸款需求及非利息收入,仍能利好利潤空間,故中長期高派息率的內銀股投資仍具備吸引力,可分段賣入。
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