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China Banks 2023-08-14T11:52 財經茄呢啡 智通財經APP獲悉,瑞銀公布研究報告稱,內銀首季盈利普遍低於預估。季內內銀貸款增加非常強勁,淨盈息口大幅下挫,收入或撥備前盈利增加牛皮,以及盈利增加普遍減速,四大行平均值同比升0.6%,郵儲銀行升5.2%,招商銀行升7.8%。
China Banks 2023-08-14T11:52 財經茄呢啡 內地7月新增貸款為3,459億元(人民幣.下同),不單止遠低於市場人士預估的8,000億元,更是自2009年11月以來新低。受到相關消息拖累,內銀股今早紛紛向下,工行、建行、中行及農行分別跌2.2%、1.6%、2.2%及1.5%。
China Banks 2023-08-12T11:43 財經茄呢啡 銀行指數追蹤在港上市的內銀股表現,在中國特色估值體系和利好政策支撐下,截至5月23日,該指數今年跑贏恆生綜合指數11.1個百分點。
China Banks 2023-08-09T11:57 財經茄呢啡 內地經濟復蘇之路曲折,瑞銀相信,內房債務問題持續,未來數年將合共為內銀帶來2萬億元人民幣損失;而人行表明要「維穩」,勢指導銀行調降存量按揭息口;同一時間,內銀要為地方政府債務展期兼減息,都不利內銀淨息差,預估內銀板塊今年上半年以至全年,撥備前利潤隨時按年錄得零提升,甚至倒退,但會通過釋放撥備,讓利潤實現中低單位數升幅。由於內地經濟回穩需時,內銀利潤受壓可能保持至明年。
China Banks 2023-08-07T12:46 財經茄呢啡 四大國有商業銀行、工行(1398)、農行(1288)、中行(3988)及建行(0939)、不論是呆壞帳、資本充足比率等各方面都是很穩健的,即使今年內銀業績增長緩慢,但明年應該有改善。
China Banks 2023-08-07T11:45 財經茄呢啡 內地經濟復蘇之路曲折,瑞銀相信,內房債務問題持續,未來數年將合共為內銀帶來2萬億元人民幣損失;而人行表明要「維穩」,勢指導銀行調降存量按揭利率;同一時間,內銀要為地方政府債務展期兼減息,都不利內銀淨息差,預估內銀板塊今年上半年以至全年,撥備前利潤隨時按年錄得零增加,甚至倒退,但會通過釋放撥備,讓利潤實現中低單位數升幅。由於內地經濟回穩需時,內銀利潤受壓可能保持至明年。
China Banks 2023-08-07T11:45 財經茄呢啡 在中特估眾多板塊中,如今白韌比較睇好內銀股及電訊股,他首先分析內銀股:「四大國有商業銀行(工行、農行、中行及建行)大家也知道重點並非增加,即是說,你不會期望它們利潤高速增加,基本上它們的賣點是四平八穩,不會出現大的問題,不論是呆壞帳、資本足夠比率等各方面都是很穩健的。
China Banks 2023-08-05T11:54 財經茄呢啡 曾永堅指內銀降准已早為市場預料,故現在針對券商定向降准措施並未刺激內銀股股價。他指,內房債務問題始終根深蒂固,其中與內銀關系亦錯綜復雜,一日內房問題依然存在,內銀在資金質素方面仍有較大負擔,將不利股價表現。
China Banks 2023-07-29T11:47 財經茄呢啡 摩根大通發表研報指,市場正關注內地國有銀行股派息的可持續性,考慮到管控變化對銀行股派息政策的影響、地方政府融資平台為股本回報率和每股利潤的下行風險、貸款再融資、「具損失吸收能力」TLAC,以及銀行可能采取采取措施減輕負面影響並維持穩定派息,估計今年至2025年內銀股派息將持穩,資本管控將有利於國有銀行,同一時間銀行或會釋放過多撥備以維持每股回報穩定。
China Banks 2023-07-26T11:52 財經茄呢啡 內銀股同獲資產追捧;招行升10.29%,報35.9元;建行升3.98%,報4.44元;工行升3.34%,報3.71元。
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