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China Banks 2024-02-26T11:57 財經茄呢啡 JASEPER續指,內銀身負國家重任,被要求收窄息差來救樓市並谷實體經濟,幫唔到銀行慨利息回報之余,內銀信貸及資產質素亦可能因此惡化。佢又指,近月不斷增加慨廣義貨幣(M2)供給中,唔少系幽靈資產,只系係銀行之間流通。
China Banks 2024-02-24T11:56 財經茄呢啡 由於大多數抵押貸款都是依據5年期LPR利率定價,認為較低的利率能鼓勵房屋銷售並刺激抵押貸款需求,或有助減輕資金質素風險。然而,有效抵押貸款利率每調降25點子(重新定價後),可能將影響內銀淨息差2至5點子,或影響稅前盈利2%至6%。
China Banks 2024-02-24T11:56 財經茄呢啡 幾只熱門股創新高,包括中海油、中國神華及農業銀行,若買中股票,基本可無視大市上落。三桶油及煤炭股昨市全線喪升,中石油及中海油都升逾5%,反而最落後的中石化僅高收3.4%,落後股長期落後一定有原因,貪平無著數。內銀股升勢持續,農行破頂後,交行升勢加速,可視為內銀股好倉的首選股,中行圖表也上佳,幾只強勢內銀平均線加速上揚,是很久未見的現象,要好好把握。
China Banks 2024-02-21T11:55 財經茄呢啡 內銀降低貸款市場報價利率救市,屬其融資成本之一的中期借貸便利利率日前卻未有降低。然而,內銀股周二(20日)普遍做好,建設銀行、工商銀行及中國銀行漲逾1%,均為去年7月初後新高,農業銀行創去年5月初後新高,其A股更創2018年2月後新高。
China Banks 2024-02-17T11:41 財經茄呢啡 據報工行(01398,升0.8%)、農行(01288,升0.3%)、中行(03988,升1.0%)、建行(00939,升0.6%)、交行(03328,升1.5%)、郵儲行(01658,升0.8%)等6間內銀,除了郵儲銀行未有披露外,5間內銀現在至少獲取、對接了超過8,200個內房白名單項目。
China Banks 2024-02-12T11:55 財經茄呢啡 在各類股權中,我仍睇好內銀股,相信每見回調,強化在低位收集,不會錯。除因內銀股普遍派息高,有八、九厘息之外,還因為中央降准的政策,使內銀可供借貸的資產越來越多,即「餅造大」了,自然盈利也會增長。雖然有人說,貸出資產出問題怎辦?相信內銀的主管已經作了風險管理,不會出大問題的,內地官宣一再講「風險可控」,就是這個道理。
China Banks 2024-02-10T11:48 財經茄呢啡 1月24日人民銀行發布的降准已於昨日生效,為相隔4個半月後再度降准。其實,人民銀行事先張揚降准的做法有別於以往,減幅達0.5個百分點也大於對上4次,向市場放水約1萬億元人幣。內銀股普遍持穩,郵儲行漲1.3%【圖1】,招行高收0.7%,工行上漲0.3%,交行微升0.2%,建行與中行無起跌;農行則跌0.7%。
China Banks 2024-02-10T11:48 財經茄呢啡 富途證券高級策略師譚智樂指,內銀股今年一直跑贏大市,恆生指數自15000點水平彈返上黎後,資產特別留意內銀股,雖然唔系大升,但好多國有大型銀行股慨股息近8厘至10厘,反映市場擔憂經濟狀況,尤其系內房有關風險,令到資產質素會係未來慨業績中見到有惡化情況。
China Banks 2024-02-07T11:53 財經茄呢啡 中國經濟轉型令到提升動力未如預估,多個行業受影響,內銀股股價表現亦受累,摩根士丹利中國首席金融經濟學家徐然認為,現時內銀估值已接近底部,「悲觀心理甚至有點過分反應」,隨著內房債務問題衍生的撥備,內地減息令到淨息差受壓兩大負面因素高峰期已過,認為內銀可靠釋放撥備推動利潤輕微提升,大型內銀預估股息回報率達8厘至9厘水平,可望支撐板塊在2024年跑贏大市。
China Banks 2024-02-07T11:53 財經茄呢啡 1月24日人民銀行發布的降准已於昨日生效,為相隔4個半月後再度降准。其實,人民銀行事先張揚降准的做法有別於以往,減幅達0.5個百分點也大於對上4次,向市場放水約1萬億元人民幣。內銀股普遍持穩,郵儲行漲1.3%【圖1】,招行高收0.7%,工行上升0.3%,交行微升0.2%,建行與中行無起跌;農行則跌0.7%。
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