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China Banks 2024-04-15T11:52 財經茄呢啡 在覆蓋的內銀中,首季大型銀行或由於撥備前盈利/稅後純利負提升而意外下行。然而,該行預估大型內銀全年盈利將保持按年持平或低單位數提升,可實現相對穩定的全年股息(預估可能派發中期息)。相比之下,優質區域性銀行看來更有能力實現優於同業的首季盈利提升。
China Banks 2024-04-13T11:46 財經茄呢啡 國有內銀控股股東中央匯金公司去年10月宣布開啟6個月賣入內銀A股,中國銀行 、建設銀行 、農業銀行 、工商銀行 周五收市後齊公告,交代中央匯金期內賣入A股的情況,但未披露匯金公司入股總代價。以百分點計,中行、農行期內獲匯金公司賣入0.11%,工行獲賣入0.08%,而建行只獲賣入0.03%。
China Banks 2024-04-06T11:51 財經茄呢啡 內銀六大行業績公布會均已召開。工行董事長廖林、建行董事長張金良均首次以董事長的新身份亮相。工行、農行、中行和交行紛紛來港做主場業績公布會,既力挺本港國際金融中心地位,又切實展示出對海外投資者的高度重視。
China Banks 2024-04-06T11:51 財經茄呢啡 要看營收、利差和呆壞帳。在過去一年醒目的投資者均看到了,所以中國銀行是一枝獨秀。2024年繼續以這三點看內銀,應仍可以揀到有相當升幅的內銀股。
China Banks 2024-04-02T11:52 財經茄呢啡 港股復活節假期前表現淡靜,恆指上周收報16,541點,全周微升0.3%。內銀股壓軸發布全年業績,內地減息周期加上經濟活動復蘇趨緩,市場對業績並無多大期望,雖則如此,三大國有內銀去年純利仍錄正增加,而且亦相應稍為增加派息,對偏好高息的投資者來說仍有交待。有分析指出,淨息差趨勢及信貸質素仍是市場主要關注點。工行收跌0.8%;中行跌0.6%;建行則跌1.7%。
China Banks 2024-04-02T11:52 財經茄呢啡 內銀內險有追捧,建行升3.2%;工行升2.8%;農行、交行升幅均逾2%;中行升1.9%;中國平安升3.2%;中國人壽、中國太平都升逾2%;眾安在線升4%。
China Banks 2024-03-30T11:49 財經茄呢啡 工商銀行及交通銀行績後股價受壓,李相信與其業績表現不太大關系,回吐或與股價過去一段日子累升不少,投資者獲利回吐,加上近期市場預測人民銀行進一步推出寬松政策,或於4月初減息,內銀息差將受壓。他預測內銀難大升,但高息率支撐下,仍可支撐股價,再跌空間不大,料今年仍能跑贏大市。他指如因為投資者獲利而令股價下滑,反而是收集增持好機會。
China Banks 2024-03-25T11:54 財經茄呢啡 中金公布報告稱,如今A/H內銀股現價分別相當於2019年估計市帳率0.84及0.68倍,估值隱含的A/H銀行不良率為15.2%及18.4%,甚至高於錦州銀行的14%,因此認為股價已反映宏觀經濟不利的因素。如今A/H四大行股息率超出十年期國債回報率水平為1.8%及3.1%,因此認為內銀H股已處於估值低位。
China Banks 2024-03-25T11:54 財經茄呢啡 如內銀一直以釋放撥備為利潤增加的手段,將令板塊估值在低水平徘徊,該行預期,內銀股短期較可能實現的利好因素是資金質素明顯改善,令新增不良貸款見頂。另外,內地存款息回軟,或會刺激提早按揭還款,令內銀資金回報進一步受壓。匯豐則稱,國家隊料會繼續賣入國有大行,考慮到內銀股估值低廉,令其股息回報率更吸引,短期內股價可望維持穩定。
China Banks 2024-03-13T11:53 財經茄呢啡 該行相信即使假設銀行收入倒退,內地銀行仍可以通過今、明兩年的資本及撥備管理以提供穩定股息,又相信通過分析歷史上股息差價趨勢,相信即使今年美國10年國債孳息率下挫,內銀H股升幅仍不及A股。
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