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Infra 2018-11-06T12:18 財經茄呢啡 廣發策略團隊公布報稱,上星期高級別會議與講話延續吹來政策暖風,透露三點積極信號經濟與信用環境對沖:加大基建補短板力度,明確支撐民營發展並走向更加廣闊舞台;化解股份質押風險,消退交易阻力,增強市場流動性;美國中期選舉局勢日漸明朗,貿易戰或有階段性緩和契機。
Infra 2018-11-06T12:18 財經茄呢啡 10月31日國家頒布了關於維持基礎設施領域補短板力度的指導意見,在建項目取得政策保障,會議提出要合理保障地方政府融資平台公司的正常融資需求,地方融資平台信用發生改善。在經濟下行壓力有所加大的背景下,基建穩依然是增加的有力抓手。持續推薦基建產業鏈的投資機會。個股方面比如中國鐵建、中國交建、中國中鐵、中國建築、葛洲壩、蘇交科、中設集團、設計總院等中期都會有不錯的表現。
Infra 2018-11-06T12:18 財經茄呢啡 中國經濟要增加,總要靠三頭馬車,出口、固投及消費,現時出口已靠不上,消費也難大增,唯有靠增加基建以穩定經濟。基建類似股權,是穩中求勝之選,今天基建三寶,中鐵、中交建及中鐵建均升逾2%。
Infra 2018-11-04T12:21 財經茄呢啡 今星期內地維穩措施再次加碼,重點聚焦「預期穩定」,吸引人的地方在於支撐「民企發展」。首先,10月中國PMI數據延續疲態,其中出口新訂單指數下滑較快,外需繼續承壓,加之,此前9月基建仍未見明顯提速,而大型消費股業績亦差過預期,直指消費牛皮,內部壓力只增不減。
Infra 2018-11-04T12:21 財經茄呢啡 1)今年首3季,中交建純利128.61億元人民幣,按年增加10%,遜於中鐵建的20%增幅中鐵的18%增幅,但實際仍佳:上半年純利按年增幅只有5%,第三季則按年大增20%。今年全年純利預料增加12%,往績PE5.5倍,今年預料僅4.9倍,較8年平均8倍折讓近4成。其他兩大鐵路基建股中鐵建及中鐵平均預料PE7.5倍,兩只機車股中車及中車時代平均預料更達15.6倍,中交建相對便宜得多。
Infra 2018-11-02T12:13 財經茄呢啡 基建股集體崛起,中國鐵建大漲6%,中國交建大漲5%,西藏天路、北新路橋、龍建股權、中鐵工業等多只個股紛紛走高。
Infra 2018-11-02T12:13 財經茄呢啡 從歷史經驗上看,基建行業往往作為經濟向下調整期時,管理層調控宏觀經濟的主要手段。此前2008年金融危機,中國出台4萬億的刺激政策,基建股的周期就從鐵路基建、公路基建、一直持續到高鐵建設,跨度周期整整影響6 —7年。
Infra 2018-11-02T12:13 財經茄呢啡 內房股升幅凌厲,碧桂園飆9.2%,報9.16元,為表現最佳藍籌;融創揚8.9%;雅居樂升8.3%。基建股中鐵升5.9%;中鐵建升4.8%;中交建升3.5%。
Infra 2018-11-02T12:13 財經茄呢啡 ?10月政治局會議點評:定調我國經濟局面仍為「穩中有變」,未提及「去槓桿」將改善市場預估,政府財政約束有望邊際松動,為基建補短板補充更多資產來源。聚焦基建短板:鐵路公路是重點,貧困地區、發達地區並舉。推薦三條擇股邏輯:1)絕對低估值的大基建首推中國中鐵,2)率先受益基建回暖的設計企業首推設計總院,3)受益民營企業融資改善的生態環保類PPP企業首推嶺南股權。
Infra 2018-11-01T12:18 財經茄呢啡 基建股集體崛起,中國鐵建大漲6%,中國交建大漲5%,西藏天路、北新路橋、龍建股權、中鐵工業等多只個股紛紛走高。
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