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AUD 2022-07-04T10:43 財經茄呢啡 澳洲經濟基礎堅實,全國失業率接近50年來的最低點3.9%,以及有彈性的消費支出是經濟承受房價下挫壓力的重要支持因素。相比之下,在2017-2019年的房地產低迷時期,失業率徘徊在5-5.5%,而家庭儲蓄還不到目前的一半。
AUD 2022-07-04T10:43 財經茄呢啡 綜合澳洲過去30天所發布的多項主要宏觀經濟數據,第一季GDP按年上揚3.3%,市場預計升2.9%,上季走高4.4%。5月商品價位按年漲30.4%,4月走高40.3%。
AUD 2022-07-04T10:43 財經茄呢啡 周二北京時間12:30澳洲央行發布議息結果,市場普遍預計澳洲央行將在今個星期加息,以減緩不斷加速的通貨膨脹。據了解,在彭博社調查的26位分析師中,除了一人之外,其他所有人都預估澳洲央行將在周二加息0.5個百分點,至1.35%,這是自2019年5月以來未見的水平。
AUD 2022-07-04T10:43 財經茄呢啡 澳洲央行在前兩次加息後,澳大利亞2.1萬億澳元(合1.4萬億美元)的經濟似乎一直表現良好。大多數分析師都調降了該國經濟提升預計,迄今為止只有野村控股預計該國經濟將出現衰退。
AUD 2022-06-30T00:30 財經茄呢啡 Although the Australian economy can avoid a recession, the overall economic environment is deteriorating and bearish. Australian stock market investors should prepare for a 20% decline in corporate earnings in the next six months. UBS lowered its year-end target for the SP/ASX 200 to 7,000 from 7,700.
AUD 2022-06-30T00:30 財經茄呢啡 The Australian economy is slowing, house prices are falling and consumer confidence is at a low point. Australia's retail sales figures to be released on Wednesday are forecast to edge up by just 0.4% after a previous strong increase, with interest rate futures implied at 1.20% and markets not fully convinced the RBA will be at next week's policy meeting Increase the benchmark overnight call rate
AUD 2022-06-30T00:29 財經茄呢啡 While a rebound in iron ore prices has provided some support for the Aussie, it has limited its upside amid concerns over the risk of a world recession. Output from steel mills in mainland China has softened, dampening demand for iron ore as commodity sales slowed due to a previous lockdown in mainland China to prevent the spread of the virus, and fears of a global recession deepened.
AUD 2022-06-30T00:29 財經茄呢啡 AUD/USD did rise from 0.6850 but failed to hold above 0.6960 and traded in a very tight range. Failure to break 0.6960 will keep AUD/USD at lower levels and could retest 0.6850 again. Once it depreciates below 0.6850, it will intensify the prospect of a dip.
AUD 2022-06-30T00:29 財經茄呢啡 AUD/USD resumes losses and remains below 0.6930, with the important bearish trend scenario still valid. Investors await further weakness in AUD/USD and test the important target of 0.6830. AUD/USD is in a relatively sluggish move, with investors uncertain about the extent to which interest rates may rise next week.
AUD 2022-06-29T10:36 財經茄呢啡 受疫情變得嚴重的影響,澳元兌換人幣一路震蕩下滑,並且貶值幅度較大,再加上「世界經濟急劇放緩」和「隨後的貨幣政策放松」等因素影響,預期澳元表現不佳的態勢將持續到明年,屆時澳元兌換人幣匯價下滑更大,澳元貶值極有機會創歷史新紀錄。
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