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美股前瞻| 三大股指期貨漲跌不一鮑威爾再赴國會山美股US Stocks Quote - 外圍新聞內容Golbal News Content @ 2024-07-11T Back Hot News
Keyword:鮑威爾 降息 減息
Concept:美國聯儲主席鮑威爾
聯儲局主席鮑威爾的言論提高市場即將降息的預期,9月減息機率上升至70%,上周為68%,金價周三上漲。
對此,表示,聽證會前,利率期貨市場反映市場預期7月減息的占比只有5%,而9月減息的占比超過70%。從這次鮑威爾沒有給出信號,反映7月開始減息的機會不大,但從言詞上已表明就業市場的風險已愈來愈高,現在已在平衡點,這暗示如果失業率或職缺比率更一步惡化時,即打破平衡點,將給予美聯儲降息的理由,9月減息的機會率依然較大。黃焯偉續指,這亦算是符合預期,因為利率期貨的表現在首天聽證會後的變動不大。

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