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達里奧:美息或加至4.5至6% 美股料挫2成|財經|商業電台 881903 @ 2022-09-17T00: Back Hot News
Keyword:美股 加息至 橋水
Concept:美國加息至 , 橋水達里奧
【美國加息】橋水RAY DALIO:繼續加息將跌市,若美國加息至4.5厘,美股將下跌兩成
▲ 【美國加息】達利奧:若美國加息至4.5厘 美股將下跌兩成
橋水創始人達利奧認為,聯儲局若加息至4﹒5厘,將令美股下跌近20%。摩根大通認為,聯儲局下周加息100基點的可能性不到三分之一。(RC)
美股昨日僅作「死貓彈」,美國8月核心PPI走強,說明生產領域通脹壓力持續,另外迫在眉睫的鐵路貨運罷工可能加劇通脹風險;2年與30年期美債息率曲線出現本世紀以來最嚴重倒掛,聰明錢明顯賭經濟衰退。華爾街大佬及投行相繼看淡美股,橋水(BRIDGEWATER)創辦人達里奧(RAY DALIO)話聯儲局如果加息至4.5厘以對付高通脹,美股勢必下跌兩成。總之,滯脹是市場最不願意見到的現象,聯儲局兩難下選擇激進加息,力求嚇退商品炒家,納指短期很可能收穿9月6日低位(11472),向萬一點以下進發。
面對通脹高企,有「鱷王」之稱的橋水創辦人達利奧(RAY DALIO)預期,聯儲局將加息至4.5至6厘范圍的上沿,導致私人企業的信貸增長放緩,影響私人企業支出及整體經濟。他估計當利率上調至4.5厘時,美股可能大跌兩成。此外,「新興市場之父」麥樸思(MARK MOBIUS)警告,聯儲局需要將利率上調至高於通脹水平從而擊退通脹。美國目前通脹率超過8%,意味聯儲局可能要加息至9厘。

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