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社評:深度衰退內外交困走出谷底前路艱難- 20200505 - 社評 @ 2020-05-06T00: Back Hot News
Keyword:香港 港首季 經濟 來最大跌幅
Concept:來最大跌幅 , 香港首季經濟
【香港經濟】香港首季GDP按年跌8.9%遜預期 歷來最差
新冠肺炎沖擊各行各業,受疫情拖累,香港今年首季本地生產總值(GDP)按年收縮百分之八點九,按季跌百分之五點三,同為一九七四年有記錄以來最大跌幅。財政司司長陳茂波表示,本港經濟陷入深度衰退,更形容「出口、消費和投資開支的三頭馬車都死火」。他預計第二季形勢亦未許樂觀,因全球疫情未受控,環球經濟難以馬上完全恢復,香港出口難望大幅改善,但同時指「人和比天時地利更重要」,若環球疫情受控,料香港經濟可在下半年逐步走出谷底。
另一方面,昨日公布的香港首季經濟表現,錄得按年收縮8.9%,是1974年有記錄以來的最大跌幅。不過,廖群表示隨著香港疫情受控,加上內地經濟逐步回穩,香港經濟表現可望逐步改善。他預料今季香港經濟將按年收縮4.5%,下季將按年收縮2.5%,第四季將按年增長2%,全年預計按年收縮2.8%。
4月初,香港大學發表的報告預測,今年首季香港及外部需求面臨崩塌式下滑,首季實質GDP按年大幅下跌8.3%;第二季實質GDP則收窄跌幅至5.2%。港大經濟學家預計,今年香港全年經濟收縮3%,較年初預期更悲觀,下調3.4個百分點,繼1998年亞洲金融風暴以來最大跌幅。

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