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縮減QE預期再增強美國原油重啟跌勢 @ 2013-11-20T01: Back Hot News
Keyword:原油 下跌 國際油價
Concept:紐約12月原油下跌81美分
因美國中西部原油庫存開始增加,周一國際油價下挫,跌穿100美元/桶,為今年7月來首次。同時,與布倫特原油期貨價差創6個月來最大。收盤時,布倫特原油報109.64美元/桶,下跌0.30美元,跌幅0.27%;美國原油報99.22美元/桶,下跌1.59美元,跌幅1.58%。近兩周來油市結構發生了巨大的改變,因季節性煉廠維護以及庫欣地區庫存增加扭轉了過去幾個月的跌勢。這令市場短期內不太看好原油前景,未來原油庫存可能出現產能過剩,至少在煉廠開始恢復生產前會是這樣。
這之後,國際油價的走勢並沒有回暖,反而呈現整體下滑態勢。截至昨日凌晨,紐約原油期貨(下稱「紐油」)價格下跌2.10美元,收於93.04美元/桶,跌幅達2.2%。這是5月31日以來,紐油的最低收盤價位。洲際交易所的倫敦布倫特原油期貨價格(下稱「布油」)亦下跌了59美分,收於105.81美元/桶,跌幅為0.6%。
後市看空的還有原油。花旗(CITI)預估在中東產油量將創8年新高下,國際油價看跌,預估布蘭特原油價格第4季將先跌至每桶105美元,明年續降至每桶98美元。倫敦布蘭特原油期貨昨一度下跌近0.8%至每桶107.68美元,今年漲幅進一步縮減至3%。
原油市場仍處於跌勢。上周紐約油價累計下跌3.3%,倫敦洲際交易所北海布倫特原油期貨也累計下跌1%。市場人士預計,由於美元強勢、原油庫存高企、淨多持倉拐頭等因素影響,國際油價的下跌還將持續。

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