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陶冬指香港房價明年將下跌15%到20% @ 2013-10-04T01: Back Hot News
Keyword:陶冬 瑞信
Concept:自貿區對香港 , 明年下半年本港樓市
瑞信亞洲區首席經濟師陶冬指出,目前本港樓市的成交淡靜,預期樓價會橫行一段時間,但隨著未來美國將會退市,預期明年下半年前後,本港銀行有機會上調按揭利率一厘,預期屆時本港樓價會下跌一成半至兩成。
新浪財經訊 10月3日下午消息 瑞信亞洲區首席分析師陶冬今天表示,香港樓市目前成交冷清、市場萎縮,短期不會大幅下跌,不過明年樓價會出現明顯下降,預測將下降15%到20%。他表示,明年樓價下跌的主要推動因素是美聯儲退市,市場進入加息周期,按揭利率或上調1厘,此外內地資金退出香港也是一大因素。
瑞信亞洲區首席經濟分析員陶冬於記者會表示,上海自貿區與內地的關系,和港及深圳與內地的關系接近,為內地另一個境內離岸中心,猶如新的香港。毫無疑問,自貿區會對香港構成威脅,且長遠威脅更大。

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