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港大降港全年經濟增長到3.3至4.1% @ 2013-07-05T05: Back Hot News
Keyword:港大 本港
Concept:今季通脹 , 港大料第三季本港經濟增長
港大料本港零售業總銷貨數量增長,將由第二季的14.7%放緩至第三季的9.7%,他指出,第二季增長主要由於金價下跌帶動,預計第四季零售銷貨量增長或達10%。
港大發表本港經濟展望報告,下調今年第二季實質本地生產總值(GDP),由原先估計按年上升5.3%,下調至按年上升4.7%,主要反映內部需求略為減弱;並預期第三季實質GDP按年上升3.6%,經濟增長按季出現放緩。
【本港財經】港大料本港樓價下半年或跌10%,第三季零售銷貨量增長放緩至9.7%
另外,港大料本港通脹率將從第二季的4.1%升至第三季的5.1%,王家富指,撇除政府租金減免措施,第三季通脹為4.3%,而第四季沒有金減免措施後,通脹率料為4%。(J/I)
港大在報告中大幅調整了多項數據預測,反映上半年拉動本港經濟增長的因素,較去年下半年有較大變化。其中,私人消費開支、貨物進出口明顯優於港大預期,固定投資增長、土地及建築投資、機械設備及電腦軟件投資則遠差過港大預期。
香港大學香港經濟及商業策略研究所今日發布最新本港宏觀經濟預測報告。港大下調今年第二季本港經濟增長預測,由原先預計至多按年增長5.3%,調低至增長4.7%,第三季經濟增長預測亦進一步下調至3.6%,並將今年全年本港經濟增長預測調低至3.3-4.1%。

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