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資金外流新興市場補破網 @ 2013-06-14T07: Back Hot News
Keyword:印尼央行 加息 意外 新興
Concept:利率25點 , 印尼央行意外加息
6月13日成 「黑色星期四」。周四日經跌6.4%,菲律賓股市跌6.8%,泰國股市跌3.9%,德國股市跌2%;上證跌2.8%,道指期貨跌0.7%;美元兌日元跌至94.27,印尼意外加息,泰國和俄羅斯干預匯市。新興匯市震蕩形勢或令美聯儲三思。據路透社,若新興匯市震蕩情勢升溫,或造成投資人全面外逃。
以中國為首的新興市場國家增速開始出現明顯放緩,而受制於制度以及以往產業政策的困境繼續出現強勁增長的預期已經一去不復返,但在此時美國經濟復蘇勢頭明顯卻加劇著市場對於美聯儲退出預期的聯想空間,在A股休市期間由於國際資本的流出加劇亞洲股市均遭遇重挫。6月12日上午印尼央行將隔夜存款利率上調至4.25%,以幫助緩解印尼盾貶值壓力,今日下午印尼央行更是意外宣布加息25個基點至6.00%,這種現象的演繹不禁使得市場開始擔憂情緒升溫。在外圍隱患重重之際,中國證監會近日下發《關於進一步推進新股發行體制改革的意見》使得IPO開閘的預期升溫以及CPI與PPI數據的下行都給市場帶來較大的做空壓力。而今日滬指刷新了自2444.80點以來的新低後雖然在創業板指的帶動下有所反抽,但整體頹勢格局依然沒有得到改變,加之市場熱點的缺失仍將導致後市股指維持一種震蕩偏弱的局面,因而建議投資者仍需保持謹慎觀望策略為宜。

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