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祈連活:聯匯料50年不變 @ 2013-05-01T03: Back Hot News
Keyword:祈連活
Concept:景順首席經濟 , 港元與人民幣掛
他指出,有關條件需要很長時間才能達成。而目前香港不應改變聯匯制度,因為一旦讓港元自由浮動,大量資金進出時會導致很大風險,美元仍是聯匯制度首選貨幣。另一方面,他續稱,基於本港目前低息環境,樓市向上屬自然,但宏觀的金融措施可以用於控制通脹。對於美國聯儲局於本周即將進行議息會議,他指出,由於美國經濟仍遜預期,經濟數據亦欠理想,相信聯儲局將繼續實施買債計劃,惟預計明年美國會逐步減慢買債規模。同時他指出,美國首季經濟增長符合預期,不過,他亦認為市場過於誇大美國經濟復蘇步伐,其首季經濟動力或未如理想,全年增長料約1%至2%,主要受自動削赤機制及加稅拖累。
有「聯匯之父」之稱的祈連活亦認同,聯儲局仍未屆減慢購買資產步伐的時機,主要是就業市場仍然疲弱,有必要繼續推行刺激措施。但他相信,買債規模將於明年因應經濟復蘇情況而逐步減少。

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