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聯匯之父︰港元暫難與人幣掛鉤 @ 2013-01-14T07: Back Hot News
Keyword:景順 祈連活 經濟
Concept:經濟增長 , 景順祈連活
核心提示:港匯連續沖擊強方兌換保證水平,惹來市場質疑港幣是否還要繼續與美元掛鉤。有聯系匯率之父之稱、景順首席經濟學家祈連活(JOHN GREENWOOD)表示,本港聯匯制度在可見的未來都不會改變,至於改掛鉤人民幣的建議則屬無稽之談,因為人民幣自由兌換的條件根本不成熟。
    景順預計內地今年經濟增長7.6%,通脹率則會升至3.3%。美國今年經濟增長2%,歐元區今年經濟收縮0.2%。景順投資首席經濟師祈連活相信,中國不會在銀行貸款上松綁,以免重蹈08年通脹率及樓價急升的覆轍。
彭博社本月就聯匯向20位分析員進行調查,其中19位預測,聯匯制度最少在未來五年,會繼續維持,而有「聯匯之父」稱譽的景順首席經濟學家祈連活,也堅持聯匯仍為最適合本港的貨幣體制,相信不會一時三刻脫鈎。

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