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曾俊華:來年本港經濟不容太過樂觀失業率具上升風險 @ 2013-01-07T20: Back Hot News
Keyword:曾俊華
Concept:香港1月7日 , 本港通脹上行風險
曾俊華亦提及歐洲、美國、日本將推出大規模的量化寬松措施,會令全球流動資金進一步增加,從而推高商品價格,引發新一輪的全球性輸入通脹。另外,本地經濟增長放緩,雖然工資升幅減慢,但租金升幅仍較快,反映本港的通脹上行風險不容忽視。
【本港樓市】曾俊華:市民置業需小心提早加息風險,續適時遏炒風
國際貨幣基金組織(IMF)於年底,分別調低本港今明兩年的經濟增長預測0.55個百分點及0.5個百分點。IMF 預料隨著出口改善,明年本港生產總值(GDP)增長率將由今年的1.25%加速至3%。IMF 指,本港內需保持強勁,旅游業及建造業發展暢旺,拖累今年表現的主要因素是淨出口下降,預計明年情況將改善,經濟增長有望較今年加速。但 IMF 擔憂內部方面,香港樓市會在近年飆升後「爆煲」,出現大幅調整;最大的外部風險則是美國面臨「財政墮崖」,以及歐債危機再度惡化。另外,IMF 預計,本港通脹率可維持在溫和水平,今年料約為3.75%,明年稍緩和至3.5%。

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