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九月CPI跳增0.6%,核心CPI增0.1% @ 2012-10-17T04: Back Hot News
Keyword:預期 月CPI 物價
Concept:美國9月CPI , 物價指數按年上升百分之
據今日公布的CPI初值數據顯示,德國9月通脹率降至2%,接近歐洲央行(ECB)為物價穩定設下的目標。市場預期9月CPI按年增幅將從8月2.1%的水平上下降,9月初值與預期相符;而8月通脹上升主要是受能源價格上漲帶動。
交通銀行金融研究中心認為,雖然近幾個月國內新漲價因素回升以及發達國家量化寬松貨幣政策操作力度加大等預期增加了未來物價反彈的壓力,但受翹尾因素回落、國內生產需求不振、油價可能下調、國內糧價可能平穩、經濟增速難以大幅回升等因素影響,預計年內物價不會出現大幅反彈。預計9月CPI同比可能有所回落,約在1.8%左右。 平安證券的報告則分析,預計9月CPI將為低於預期的1.9%。盡管豬肉價格小幅上漲,但整體來看,農產品價格環比漲幅將低於預期,從而導致CPI同比也將低於之前的預期。下半年物價走勢也將小幅低於預期,預計年底升至2.5%,全年約2.6%。
主計總處官員表示,8月CPI再創新高,主因是雙台推動蔬果價格高漲,且影響層面更勝7月豪雨,「8月CPI漲幅超過預期,有七成因素是由蔬果等食物價格推動」。

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