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印度利率不變 警告經濟下滑 @ 2012-08-01T05: Back Hot News
Keyword:印度
Concept:20位經濟 , 印度央行維持利率不變
印度中央銀行31日將今年度的經濟成長預估,由7.5%調低為6.5%,但仍高於上年度的6. 1%;今年第一季印度經濟年增率僅5.3%,是九年來成長最緩慢的一季。而且印度由於通膨率接近7%,因此盡管經濟展望惡化,但央行仍維持利率不變,無法藉由降息來刺激經濟加速成長。
印度央行可能會在下周二的議息會議上將關鍵政策利率維持在8.0%不變,以便在國家可能遭遇旱災的情況下防止通貨膨脹上升。接受道瓊斯調查的15位經濟學家中有14位預計,印度央行此次將維持利率不變。另外一位經濟學家預計印度央行將減息25個基點。盡管最近幾個月印度非食品制造業的價格漲幅已穩定在5%左右,但食品價格的漲幅仍保持在兩位數,而且在雨季之後可能還會更高。渣打銀行南亞研究部主管SAMIRAN CHAKRABORTY稱,食品價格上漲將最終影響到勞資雙方的薪酬談判,印度央行不太可能會忽視其中的通貨膨脹風險。另外,印度央行最近的表態一直偏向緊縮政策。印度央行行長SUBBARAO表示,通貨膨脹率仍遠高於令印度央行放心的水平。印度央行定於格林威治時間下周二0530公布利率決定。

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