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港股難逃低開冀守萬八關 @ 2012-06-04T12: Back Hot News
Keyword:萬八 港股 恆指
Concept:ADR上周 , 港股18300點
美股調整,相信全球資金參與度高的港股亦難免大跌,我們估計本周港股調整壓力極大,恆指跌穿萬八關屬意料中事,更有機會下試17,600點以下找支持,建議投資者暫時觀望,不要輕易入市。
恆指5月急瀉2536點或12%後,6月弱勢未改,勢難逃「五窮六絶」的命運。內地5月份PMI跌至50.4,低於市場預期的52,並創去年12月以來最低。投資者憧憬中央「放水」,港股一度升96.92點,惟尾市受下周恆指換馬影響,個別藍籌股見沽壓,累恆指倒跌收市。市場人士認為,6月上旬市場情況仍未樂觀,不排除跌穿18300點,甚至下試萬八關。
上周五(11日)港股隨A股下跌,失守二萬點心理關口,恆指收報19964點,跌262點。本周一(14日)市場對希臘債務危機的憂慮升溫,人行降低存款准備金率0.5%亦無法提振大市的氣氛,恆指收報19735點,再跌229點。本周二(15日)受惠德國公布首季經濟回復增長及傳聞祖國七月將會送大禮給香港,港股結束八連跌,恆指收報19894點,升159點。本周三(16日)希臘脫離歐元區的機會大增,恆指收報19259點,大跌634點。本周四(17日)歐洲央行暫停向希臘部分銀行提供借貸,恆指收報19201點,再跌58點。在希臘國會下月17日重選前,歐洲政經局勢非常不明朗,此情況下必然消息滿天飛,港股難免波動,如沒有大的利好消息入市,在6月底前下試萬八點大關的機會頗大,各位讀者朋友如要在現時的市況做投資,必須造好風險管理。
恆指周二裂口高開後以陀螺形態收市,技術上,大市回補上周五的下跌裂口,並重上萬九之上,加上MACD熊差略為收窄,反映技術走勢有喘穩跡象。恆指首個阻力為10天線(19,553點),而下一阻力則見於20,000點。支持方面,恆指首個支持為五月低位18,622點,而下一支持則見於萬八關。

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