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經濟:穩住開局健步走(圖) @ 2012-04-16T04: Back Hot News
Keyword:經濟 GDP增速 一季度GDP
Concept:國家統計局4月13日 , 中國一季度GDP增速
中信證券首席經濟學家諸建芳認為,2012年經濟將低位開局,由於總需求回落,一季度GDP繼續回落,從環比來看,一季度GDP增長1.7%,年化為7%左右,同比GDP增速在8.3%左右。
備受矚目的一季度經濟數據將於今日公布,據此前市場預測,今年一季度GDP增速或將放緩至8.4%,低於去年四季度的8.9%。而根據之前公布的數據看,國內投資減緩,需求不旺,通貨膨脹反彈的壓力暫時不大,有分析預計未來一段時間政策預調微調力度或加大,此舉也將會給目前的A股市場帶來一定影響。
中國一季度GDP增速下滑超預期,可以看成是前兩個半月經濟表現較差的原因。不過,自3月中旬起,銀行信貸投放加大力度,基建工程復工較多,這種情況目前一直得到維持。目前,預調微調措施有望密集出台,市場仍然對降准充滿期待。投資者可保持依托10日均線逢低買入,短線操作的思路。不過,在降准以前,滬鋅1207站上20日均線仍有一定難度。

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