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星展:陸今年經濟成長率8.5% @ 2012-02-09T23: Back Hot News
Keyword:星展 內地
Concept:經濟師梁兆基 , 星展料內地每季最多
星展香港高級經濟師梁兆基表示,通脹反彈受到季節性因素影響,不會持續升溫,內地今年仍以穩定的貨幣政策為主,每季降存款准備金率一次,全年通脹介乎3.5%至4%。
該行估計,東風2012年汽車銷量按年上升15%,即1月份乘用車及商用車銷量已分別占全年預測7%及4%,受東風本田三款新型號帶動,預期乘用車今年銷售增長符預期,或高於市場增長評級維持「買入」,目標價17.85元。內地通脹回升至4.5%,星展香港高級經濟師梁兆基解釋,是次通脹率不能作准,難以與去年相比,因新年正值二月,春節期間市民對食品需求大,相信下月CPI會因季節性因素回落
星展銀行(香港)經濟研究部高級經濟師梁兆基表示,內地1月通脹數據雖高於預期,但並不意外,因農歷春節對食品需求大,且今年春節時間較去年提早,加上去年1月基數較低。他預計,內地2月份通脹或回落,全年預計介乎3.5%-4%水平。

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