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中國通膨降溫,小摩與巴克萊預估今年四降存准率 @ 2012-01-12T19: Back Hot News
Keyword:今年 內地 摩通料
Concept:
摩通料今年內地樓價平均跌最多10% 限購令年底取消
他補充,預期中國今年的貿易順差將由去年的1800億美元收窄至1500億美元,又相信今年內地的消費增長會維持穩定,亦料將有更多刺激消費的政策出台,包括提升工資及下調入息稅等。(經濟通)
內房股逆勢上揚,世茂[00813.HK]升3%,雅居樂[03383.HK]升5.02%,同期恆指跌0.3%。摩根大通預期,今年內地樓價平均跌5%-10%,當中部份一線城市價格跌15%-20%,惟再大幅下跌機會不大,中央將以溫和政策調整。摩通中國首席經濟學家兼大中華區經濟研究主管朱海斌表示,目前內地樓市成交量略有回升,相信中央短期內維持實施針對樓市措施,限購令有機會於年底內逐步取消,但不排除推出其他措施溫調控樓市
大中華區經濟研究部主管、中國首席經濟學家朱海斌指出,內地必定無法達到政府控制全年通脹於4%的目標,預計去年全年為5.5%。對於今年通脹趨勢,他預計全年將呈前低後高態勢,因該行預計美國或於第三季度推出QE3,料將推高石油及其他

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