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開市焦點:商務工作會議 恆指50天線 @ 2012-01-05T09: Back Hot News
Keyword:恆指 港股 0天線 50
Concept:
如恆指能持續守於50天線之上,走勢或有轉好機會,看好者可留意貼價的恆指認購證
多國PMI資料勝預期,刺激港股於2012年首個交易日開紅盤高收;港股高開336點後反復向上,以接近高位收市,收報18877點,升443點或2.4%,重上50天線,惟短期仍面對100天線的阻力;國指重上一萬關,收報10235點或3.01%。主板成交額回升至326.42億元,較上日增33%。
值得一跌的是,臨近年尾,加上今年港股累計跌幅較大,基金或會有較大動機進行粉飾窗櫥的活動;港股近日在萬八點關口展開了反彈走勢,符合近幾年來年底前出現反彈的情況。值得一提的是,按過去四年港股年底反彈的幅度計,今年反彈目標原可達19500-20500點,然而,另一方面,由於明年經濟展望向淡,大市中期走勢仍然疲弱,或使大市反彈幅度打了折扣,而50天線約萬九點關口將成為較重大的阻力。
值得一提的是,恆指於周三成功突破近兩周的下降軌,反彈勢頭初現,有望出現粉飾窗櫥行情,而過去四年港股於年底均見反彈行情,按過去反彈幅度計算,今年反彈目標可達19500-20500點;惟應留意的是大市中期走勢仍然疲弱,保守的投資者宜將反彈目標打折,於50天線約萬九點關口進行減持。

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