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印度央行出重拳抑制盧比貶值 @ 2011-12-17T08: Back Hot News
Keyword:印度央行 利率
Concept:
印度為亞洲第3大經濟體,隨著經濟增長減緩,很多人希望通脹的下降能讓印度放松貨幣政策,但預計本周五印度央行議息時將維持利率不變。商界人士對政府連續13次加息仍未能控制通脹表示不滿。印度平均利率將近10%的狀況已存續兩年時間。
印度目前通脹高企,料印度央行將無法使用降息這一提振經濟的利器。路透調查顯示,印度央行12月16日會議將維持利率不變,2011財年底前將升息25基點。
東方匯理銀行(Credit Agricole CIB)資深經濟學家科瓦爾奇克預期,本周五印度利率決策會議可能維持利率8.5%不變。他說:「印度工業生產數據惡化,周五印度央行利率決策會議聲明措辭改變可能性升高,因為印度經濟持續疲軟,預估印度央行可能於明年降息。」
東方匯理銀行(Credit Agricole CIB)資深經濟師Dariusz Kowalczyk認為央行將在本周五維持附買回利率水准在8.5%不變。由於印度經濟持續疲弱,該行預期印度央行會在明年降息。
本周五,印度央行將召開議息會議,外界普遍預期印度央行將繼續維持回購利率在8.5%的水平不變。渣打銀行駐孟買經濟學家沙哈表示,盡管印度央行在政策調整上將更關注經濟的疲弱增長,但央行很難不考慮通脹因素。

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