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社科院發布住房綠皮書 房價拐點或現明年一季度 @ 2011-12-10T20: Back Hot News
Keyword:社科院 明年 軟著陸 堅持 住房綠皮書
Concept:
對於房價何時能夠見底,房地產行業綠皮書主編,中國社會科學院城市與競爭力研究中心主任倪鵬飛表示「趨向軟著陸」不等於見底,即「軟著陸」也不一定在2012年就完成。綠皮書指出,明年中國的住房市場面臨著報復性反彈和「硬著陸」兩大風險。建議繼續堅持從嚴調控不動搖,完善調控行政措施。同時建立房地產調控的應急機制,做好房價下降的各種應對預案。
昨日,中國社科院發布的《住房綠皮書》(以下簡稱「綠皮書」)預計,明年若無重大外部因素沖擊,中國房地產市場趨於軟著陸。社科院預計,明年中國房地產信貸或審慎放松,房價全年緩步下降,一季度房價拐點趨勢會更明顯。
中國社科院9日在京發布《住房綠皮書:中國住房發展報告(2011~2012)》。綠皮書認為,由於調控效果顯著,房地產市場或會「軟著陸」。專家指出,目前房地產市場回落和下調,不是市場機制內生的,主要是通過限貸、限購、限價等高壓政策手段實現,基礎並不牢固。為此,2012年將繼續堅持從嚴調控不動搖,防止報復性反彈。另一方面,建立房地產調控的應急機制,做好房價下降應對預案和應急機制,避免房地產市場「硬著陸」。

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