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梁兆基看淡港經濟 @ 2011-12-10T13: Back Hot News
Keyword:梁兆基
Concept:
因為歐債問題引發的不確定性,本港出口進一步縮減的影響,繼各大行接連調低本港經濟增長的預期後,大摩將本港今年經濟增長預測由原來的5%調低至4.7%,以反映第三季經濟按季只增長0.1%的影響。同時,亦將本港明年經濟增長預測由原來的4%狠削至2%。
另外,報告又指,由於外圍需求轉弱,預計香港經濟增長於今年將回落至5.75%;明年進一步放緩至4%。消費物價指數今年平均為5.5%;明年內將維持在4至5%之間。匯豐亞太區業務策略及經濟顧問梁兆基對香港明年經濟增長更悲觀,料會低於4%。
匯豐銀行亞太區業務策略及經濟顧問梁兆基表示,本港出口業出現間歇性收縮,加上各地制造業放緩,認為2012年本港出口業不容樂觀,料明年出口只有單位數增長。梁兆基表示,本港失業率已見底回升,出口相關行業尤其受影響,預期明年上半年失業率升至4%。他亦預期,明年本港濟增長將放緩至4%或更低,不排除連續兩季出現經濟收縮。失業率回升將影響消費力,但由於本港負債少、息口低,故資產價格不會大幅下滑,經濟增長...... 請在這里發表您個人看法,發言時請遵守法紀注意文明。

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