易发投资

澳元汇率

財經茄呢啡 (10-30)

2008年10月30日

澳元对美元汇率有可能继续下跌
随着澳元对美元汇率在27日的交易中跌至1比60．14美分，专家预测，未来几个月内澳元有可能进一步贬值。澳大利亚国民银行资本市场部货币策略专家认为，澳元低于60美分应属于超跌。不少分析人士也表示，澳元被抛售过度正是收购的好时机。

澳元/美元短期可能在0.6000筑底
与其他发达国家不同，澳洲经济比较倚重资源出口，外来资本进入澳洲资源类部门是助推澳洲经济一度繁荣解决就业的重要途径，但自7月中旬以来，澳元对美元汇率由0.9850附近大幅跌至0.6000附近。

10月29日：欧元，日圆，英镑，瑞郎，澳元，纽元，加元
澳元周二自低位反弹，一度更曾跨过0.65关口。澳洲央行连续第三个交易日干预汇市，这至少在目前支撑了澳元。周二早盘澳元曾触及0.6007的五年半低位。澳洲央行（央行）通过回购协议增加26.7亿澳元的资金注入，高于预计的15亿澳元日需求量，有效注资为16亿澳元左右。

財經茄呢啡 (10-24)

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2008年10月24日

更多：澳元汇率汇价新闻

金融风暴刮起的澳元漩涡中国在澳300亿投资堪忧
美元近期出乎意料的坚挺，更导致澳元汇率下跌。由于受美元大幅反弹和股市持续下跌的影响，以美元计价的大宗商品价格难有回暖迹象。市场仍预计未来澳元将继续贬值15 ％左右。中国企业在澳洲投资额超过300亿澳元。澳元若持续贬值，又有多少企业会因此卷入澳元“漩涡” ？

澳元/美元面临下行压力－荷兰银行
荷兰银行外汇策略师师Greg Gibbs称，澳元/美元在周五亚洲交易时段面临下行压力。市场近期很可能是过于关注澳大利亚央行或进一步减息的消息，并未冷静下来仔细观察全球其他地区的情况。指出该汇率料将进一步下探。

Australian Dollar Gets a Boost From Wall Street Rally
The Australian dollar has jumped two cents against the US dollar since the close on Wall Street, after the Dow and S&P indexes closed up on the day. With no significant data releases out of Australia today, the dollar will probably remain sensitive to equity market moves.

財經茄呢啡 (10-22)

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2008年10月22日

更多：澳元走势

道琼斯：欧元/美元料将弱势盘整
对汇率构成拖累的因素有：澳大利亚经济前景疲弱、澳大利亚央行10月份货币政策会议纪要立场温和推动减息预期升温、风险偏好降温引发作多澳元的融资套利交易平仓。但澳元和美元之间的利差较大，美国股指期货盘后走高料将限制汇率跌势。

纽市21日澳元兑美元再度下挫
亚洲汇市澳洲联储疲弱会议纪要压低澳元，但欧洲汇市全球股市反弹推升风险偏好并刺激澳元反弹。澳洲联储明确重申其放松货币政策的倾向及对全球整体经济状况的担心，令澳元汇率承压进一步下滑。

Aussie slightly higher against most majors amid Australian Q3 CPI report
(RTTNews) - The Australian dollar inched slightly higher against most major currencies following the release of the third quarter inflation report on Monday morning in Asia. The report showed that Australia's annual inflation soared to 5.0% in the third quarter.

財經茄呢啡 (10-18)

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2008年10月18日

更多：澳汇价新闻

Australian Dollar Might Be the Biggest Victim of the Current Financial Crisis
The Australian dollar has been the worst performer among the world’s most heavily traded currencies. Given the current market environment of uncertainty and de-leveraging in world’s financial markets, high yielding currencies are likely to remain particularly vulnerable against lower yielding currencies.

Australian Dollar Crosses: A Long Term Perspective
The AUDCAD then traded sideways until dropping to an all-time low last week. One such count treats the drop to a new low as a B wave (false break). Once this B wave completes, which may take weeks if not longer, a sharp advance would ensue.

Aussie dollar rises after a strong finish on Wall St
October 17, 2008: At the close, the Australian dollar was trading at US68.9c, up about 3.5 per cent from Thursday's US66.54c. The Aussie was unable to sustain the momentum as the global growth outlook slumped. Westpac currency strategist Jonathan Cavenagh said the Aussie faced plenty of selling interest near US70c.

財經茄呢啡 (10-16)

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2008年10月15日

Yen Extends Gains on Speculation US Will Enter a Recession
Against the Australian dollar, the yen jumped 8.8 percent from late yesterday in Asia to 65.38, its biggest gain since Oct. 8. Japan's currency also surged 6 percent to 59.55 per New Zealand dollar and rose 1.3 percent versus the South African rand to 9.3000 from late yesterday in New York.

AUSD slumps below 67 US cents
The Australian dollar opened weaker, down nearly 5%, as investors shunned riskier assets such as equities and high-yielding currencies on continuing fears of a recession in the United States.

NZ Dollar tumbles vs greenback
The kiwi did gain against the Australian dollar overnight and by today's local open was at A90.10c, from A88.75c at 5pm. The NZ dollar slipped against Australian and Japanese currencies – to 0.4490 euro from 0.4542, and to 61.17 yen from 62.50. The trade weighted index was 60.25 at 8am from 60.84 at 5pm.

財經茄呢啡 (10-15)

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2008年10月15日

美元仍将振荡上行
从最近美元对各主要币种的汇率走势可以发现，降息预期较大的高息货币如欧元、澳元，对美元贬值幅度巨大，而降息预期较小的低息货币如日元，不仅对美元没有贬值，反而大幅度升值。

每日汇评
澳元/美元：本周有望出现反弹，阻力位在0.6975-0.7260一带，超强阻力在0.7450附近；支撑位在0.6560-0.6460附近。美元/日元：本周展开反弹的可能性比较大，支撑位在100.20-99.10附近，阻力位在101.75-103.20附近。

No News is Good News
The largest mover in the currency markets yesterday was the Australian dollar which has surged up 12% vs. the US$ since late last week; the biggest two day gain since it began trading freely in 1983. The Australian dollar gained as investor's confidence was restored and stock markets rallied.

財經茄呢啡 (10-13)

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2008年10月13日

澳元兑美元保持日内高位下方盘整
自雷曼兄弟破产引发新一轮危机爆发后，虽然各国难以达成区域甚至全球统一的危机解决方案，令市场担忧情绪持续发酵，避险情绪高涨，全球股市跌跌不休，金融市场流动性几乎冻结。

澳元劲扬日元回落,各国争相救助银行业
各国当局主动出击，对抗1930年代以来最为严重的金融危机的举动还是提升了投资者的风险情绪，尽管分析师们并不确信人气改善的局势能否持久。

財經茄呢啡 (10-13)

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2008年10月13日

更多：澳汇价新闻

澳经济学家称金融危机不会引起经济衰退

针对澳元汇率和股市急剧下挫，目前金融市场主要由市场情绪主导，一旦跌破一些心理关口，就会引发羊群效应。但从长线来说，还是要考虑经济和政治因素。

澳洲股市：黑色星期五之后重拾信心

政府还提高了资金供应到80亿澳元以改善金融市场的资金流动。该项保证计划使澳元汇率升高。今晨7点15分，澳元升了3.2%，报66.72美元，是9月19日以来最高升幅。

澳元汇率估值分析

本次澳元汇率从高点大幅度下跌33 ％（上午截止1010 ），而美元指数实际只上涨了15.5 ％，也就是说澳元汇率的跌幅是市场平均跌幅的两倍。从市场面看，澳元可能处在下跌的第二阶段末期，短期会有大幅反弹。

財經茄呢啡 (10-13)

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澳元汇率

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